City University of Hong Kong Challenge

This challenge, open to the public, was launched as part of the coursework for a class at the City University of Hong Kong (aka CityU). Students enrolled in the course have been assigned to forecast the questions on this challenge. Practice making forecasts of real-world events over the course of this semester—from politics and international affairs to sports and entertainment. In this challenge, by assigning a probability to events and then updating this probability over time, we hope that you will deepen your appreciation that the world is an uncertain place...and that you will practice skills which will help you to think more clearly about the world in the face of this uncertainty.