What will be the price of natural gas in Europe on 16 February 2024?
Closed Feb 16, 2024 08:01AM UTC
With the second winter since Russia's invasion of Ukraine approaching and with supply disruptions in Australia and the Mediterranean partially offset by high storage levels, observers are keeping a close eye on the Dutch benchmark for natural gas in the EU (Euronews, CNN, US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 15 February 2024 and the outcome determined using Dutch TTF Gas data (euros per megawatt hour) as reported in the US by Trading Economics (Trading Economics, set chart to "6M").
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The question closed "Less than €25.00" with a closing date of 16 February 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than €25.00 | 51% | |
| Between €25.00 and €40.00, inclusive | 48% | |
| More than €40.00 but less than €55.00 | 1% | |
| Between €55.00 and €70.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than €70.00 but less than €90.00 | 0% | |
| Between €90.00 and €115.00, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than €115.00 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 82 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 186 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 415 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 539 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
