Incumbent Indonesian President Joko Widodo is ineligible for reelection due to term limits, leaving three major candidates vying for the position (Economist, AP, Al Jazeera, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace). The 2024 presidential election scheduled for 14 February 2024 and a runoff on 26 June 2024 if needed (Jakarta Post - Election 2024). A forecast for a candidate who ceases to be a candidate would be considered a forecast for the replacement candidate chosen under Indonesian law. If the election (either round) is canceled or postponed to a date after 30 September 2024, the question will close "Another outcome."

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The question closed "Prabowo Subianto" with a closing date of 14 February 2024.

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